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THE RH JOURNAL
Insights and Articles


Earnings drive the rally as risks linger
The S&P 500 finished the month of March down 5.0%, bringing year-to-date losses to 4.3%. There were very few places to hide, as
10-year Treasury yields rose from 3.96% to 4.32%, gold declined 11%, and international equities underperformed their domestic
counterparts. From a sector standpoint, energy was the only sector to finish the month with positive returns.1

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
2 days ago


Volatility returns as global risks rise
The S&P 500 finished the month of March down 5.0%, bringing year-to-date losses to 4.3%. There were very few places to hide, as
10-year Treasury yields rose from 3.96% to 4.32%, gold declined 11%, and international equities underperformed their domestic
counterparts. From a sector standpoint, energy was the only sector to finish the month with positive returns.1

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Apr 2


Risk Awareness and Diversification 2.0 Taking Root
The S&P 500 finished the month down 0.8%, bringing year-to-date returns to 0.7%1. During our Crystal Ball Outlook, we outlined 2026 as the year of “Risk Awareness and Diversification 2.0 (RAD)”, calling for broader leadership across the market, not just within the index but across asset classes, size and style. So far, that thesis is playing out.

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Mar 2


Déjà Vu starting to play out
Folks familiar with me know I like to use
themes when discussing my economic and capital market views. I tend to view the economy (and much else in life) in a historical context. Why? Just because this is a new year doesn’t mean we as people have radically changed our habits and processes.
We all learn from our own and other’s pasts. That’s why thematic thought processes make sense to me.

William Greiner
Feb 2


Decent Q4 makes it three straight years of double-digit returns. How about four in a row?
We wouldn’t call it a scorching Santa Claus rally, but the S&P 500 was able to hang on and post a positive total return of roughly 2.7% in Q4 2025. This put a nice cherry on top of another solid year for US equity investors. In calendar 2025, the S&P 500 recorded a gain of 17.9% to make it three consecutive years of double-digit returns. When coupled with gains of over 25% each in both 2023 and 2024, the S&P 500 has returned more than 86% from its close on December 31, 2022.

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Jan 3


The November market pause just might set the table for a profitable 2026
The S&P 500 finished November up 0.2%, bringing year to date returns to 17.8% through month end. A flat month on the surface doesn’t quite capture the experience investors lived through, as it took a late-month rally to pull the index back to where it started. Beneath the headline number, some of the year’s high-flying stocks came back down to earth, reflecting a modest rotation under the surface during the pullback. While these week-to-week gyrations make for lively dinner-t

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Dec 9, 2025


The November market pause just might set the table for a profitable 2026
The S&P 500 finished November up 0.2%, bringing year to date returns to 17.8% through month end. A flat month on the surface doesn’t quite capture the experience investors lived through, as it took a late-month rally to pull the index back to where it started. Beneath the headline number, some of the year’s high-flying […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Dec 8, 2025


Trick or treat: A mixed bag
October could best be described as a mixed bag: some good, some bad, but certainly eventful. The month’s headlines and market reactions once again reinforced our Clear Air Turbulence theme, as investors navigated through some spooky developments: renewed government shutdown threats, chatter about stock market “bubbles” and talk of additional tariffs that led to a rather painful single-day sell-off early in the month. Yet, when the dust settled, markets clawed back those losse

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Nov 7, 2025


Trick or treat: A mixed bag
October could best be described as a mixed bag: some good, some bad, but certainly eventful. The month’s headlines and market reactions once again reinforced our Clear Air Turbulence theme, as investors navigated through some spooky developments: renewed government shutdown threats, chatter about stock market “bubbles” and talk of additional tariffs that led to a […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Nov 7, 2025


The Fed Talks the Talk, Walks the Walk: Investors Embrace the Fed’s Decision
Mark Twain once said that September is a particularly difficult month to invest in stocks. Of course, he went on to comment jokingly that the other 11 difficult months included all other 30-day periods that comprise the calendar. Well, not true this September. The S&P 500 advanced over 2% for the month, and its current […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Oct 6, 2025


The “Center Stage” Question: To Cut or Not to Cut? Market Implications
The current market set-up and drama surrounding the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is center stage right now and about as Shakespearean as it gets. In this unfolding monetary policy play, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is seemingly cast in the role of Hamlet. Taking some license with that famous soliloquy in the actual play, the poetic […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Sep 8, 2025


Your Personal Balance Sheet: Prioritizing Assets vs. Liabilities
At Rolling Hills Advisors, we require all our clients to maintain a personal balance sheet—an organized summary of the assets they own and the liabilities they owe. While this is a standard requirement for publicly traded companies, many individuals have never taken the time to put it on paper. We believe this simple but essential […]

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Aug 25, 2025


Cash is King
The saying “cash is king” has been around for well over 100 years—credited to author George N. McLean—and the maxim still holds true in many scenarios. But is there such a thing as too much cash?

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Aug 25, 2025


Your Personal Balance Sheet: Prioritizing Assets vs. Liabilities
At Rolling Hills Advisors, we require all our clients to maintain a personal balance sheet—an organized summary of the assets they own and the liabilities they owe. While this is a standard requirement for publicly traded companies, many individuals have never taken the time to put it on paper.

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Aug 25, 2025


Federal Reserve Sovereignty – An Important Issue
On July 16, capital markets went through a period of whipsaw trading as speculation emerged that President Donald Trump might “fire” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Later that day, the president stated he wasn’t going to remove Powell unless he found “cause.” Do the cost overruns tied to renovations at the Federal Reserve building in […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Aug 5, 2025


When It Rains, It Pours – Better Bring an Umbrella
We all know the old saying ‘when it rains, it pours,’ but for many of us the saying ‘it is always sunnier after the rain’ feels more accurate. More often than not, bad times give way to good times and our past struggles become the roadblocks for future happiness. We shouldn’t be faulted for this […]

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Jul 29, 2025


Q2 Market Review
If the second quarter of 2025 proved anything, it was Graham’s wisdom in action. While media noise and policy surprises stirred investor anxiety, the market ultimately weighed earnings, economic resilience, and forward momentum—and found substance worth rallying around.

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Jul 29, 2025


Sprinting Into the Locker Room at Half-Time! Is this Real or Fear of Missing Out?
No doubt about it, the market is exhibiting some mojo as we close out the first half of 2025. The S&P 500 had an outstanding June, with a total return of roughly 5% for the month. This was on the heels of a more than 6% total return in May, which made for one of […]

Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
Jul 3, 2025


May Market Review
If there was ever a month that showcased the wisdom of the Oracle of Omaha, May 2025 delivered. Despite a barrage of negative headlines—ranging from tariff disputes and inflation data to consumer spending slowdowns and bond volatility—investors who stayed the course were handsomely rewarded. Buffett’s remark, often seen as clever market banter, became a case study in real time.

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Jun 18, 2025


It’s All in the Data
The financial advisory business has changed dramatically over the last 30 years. Early on, a financial advisor was, for the most part, a converted stock or insurance broker looking to move away from a transaction-based business model. The rise of mutual funds and managed portfolios made this transition easier, but at its core, the job […]

Christian Hutchins CFP®, CEPA®, AIF®
Jun 18, 2025
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